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Old 06-12-2007, 09:01 AM
Freyalise Freyalise is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Location: U.K.
Posts: 28
Default Re: Lottery with free tickets to another lottery. Calculate EV?

[ QUOTE ]
1. Lottery B has an EV of 0. A has an EV of 400/550 + 1/5*(0) - 1 = -0.27

2. B: EV = 1. A = 1 + 1/5*(1) - 1 = 1/5.

Thus B > A in both cases.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why are you adding 1/5*(0) when calculating A's equity in the first scenario. You get a free lottery B ticket. Your calculation would be correct if you had to buy the lottery B ticket.

Correct answer should be 400/550 + 1/5*(1) -1 = -0.07

Your calculation for scenario 2 is wrong as well, although the answer that B is better is correct for both.
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