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Old 06-09-2006, 12:13 AM
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Default Re: Three Years in Las Vegas

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surf,

"no hating here...I just want to confirm this timeline...b/c this is some very depressing $hit..."

The thing is, Dynasty's story is probably way more common than people think.

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Not only that, but good players who go broke after some years of playing is way more common than many people probably think, too.

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It's just that most guys who are in his situation (grinding as a pro for five years as a winning, but not top-level player, making enough to pay the bills but not much more) aren't prominent posters who are writing about their experiences.

A lot of the aspiring pros around here should pay attention to Dynasty's story.

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Yes, and there are many worse stories out there, too. We just don't read them on the forums for the most part.

Here are a few more things aspiring pros might want to consider:

-Most players underestimate the "long run", as well as how long they can run bad

-Most players underestimate how much their own play deteriorates when they are under the weight of running bad. That deterioration in play can greatly affect expected win rates, and therefore it can greatly affect how long the bad run can last.

-Most players have leaks or "personal management flaws" in some way or another.

-Just because someone is a good player, does not "entitle" them to win 1 big bet per hour (live) or 2BB/100 hands (online) or whatever. It's not like being a carpenter.

-Beating the other players *and* beating the rake for enough to pay the bills is not all that easy in the long run. Sure it looks and feels easy when you are running pretty decent. Sure it looks and feels easy when you are sitting with donkeys and you are not running bad. Will the games always be this good? I don't think so.

-There are a lot of good players who have started playing poker in the last five years and are now playing professionally. A high percentage of them are destined to go broke at some point in the future.

edited: (FWIW, I don't think Dynasty is one of those destined to go broke at some point. But I would also guess that few of today's recent crop of pros are as level-headed and methodical as Dynasty).
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