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Old 10-20-2006, 05:08 PM
pirateboy pirateboy is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
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Default Re: Pirateboy\'s NCAAF Conquest - Week 8

Added:

MTSU (-3.5) @ UL-Monroe
--Was hoping this would go lower. MTSU looks like one of the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt and ULM looks to be one of the worst 6 teams in the country. MTSU should win by 10 plus.

Alabama @ Tennessee O43.5
--This is a complete flip from last season. Last year's game totalled (sp?) 9 points, but the teams have both had average defenses so far, and both passing attacks are good. Tennessee should hit 30+ and Alabama will hit at least 20. I see a 34-20 game here.

South Carolina @ Vanderbilt U41
--South Carolina hasn't scored well on the road, and Vandy's D is better than normal. Newton could ruin the under if he runs a lot, but I expect Vandy LB J. Goff (love this kid) to be able to contain him as a spy. I see a 5-6 point value here, with a SC win 21-13 game.

Georgia Tech @ Clemson O46.5
--GT's offense has looked very good recently, and Clemson's stats on both sides have been helped by playing numerous patsies. Still, Clemson will score. I actually feel like there is a strong strong value here. Clemson gave up 34 to BC and GT is comparable, IMO. GT gave up 27 to VT and 23 to Maryland, and Clemson is better than both on offense. I see a 31-24 game or thereabouts.

Boston College @ Florida State O41.5
--BC has a good offense and even though Ryan is hobbling, I think he'll still guide them to 20-24 points. FSU's offense has looked better against the weaker defenses, but don't expect a huge dropoff: BC isn't great on defense either. I really don't know who's going to win this game, but a close 27-24 game could happen, and while I didn't consider this as even more value, but I do now: this game could very well be an OT game.

All 1 unit, except Alabama/Tennessee OVER which is 2 units.
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