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Old 11-08-2007, 12:53 AM
vmacosta vmacosta is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Bay Area
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Default Re: Basic River Value Question

[ QUOTE ]
seems like a good time to stove it up...

assuming he makes it to the river with pretty much his whole range, I removed monsters (figure even this player will not player a monster this passive), and removed anything less than KT or so...

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

218 games 0.005 secs 43,600 games/sec

Board: 3s 2c 2d 2h 7h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.037% 44.04% 00.00% 96 0.00 { AcKc }
Hand 1: 55.963% 55.96% 00.00% 122 0.00 { 99-88, 66-44, ATs-A3s, KJs+, K7s, K3s, Q7s, Q3s, J7s, J3s, T7s, 97s, 87s, 75s+, ATo-A3o, KJo+, K7o, Q7o, J7o, T7o, 87o }


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so.... looks like its close (if he pays off any ace and most kings), but probably a check behind

[/ QUOTE ]

basic problem with this stove is that he donks many of the 7x hands on the turn. i think. actually i really don't know what his range is on any street. my sample in this situation is so small. usually he has the deuce and i'm done on the turn anyhow. or i make a -1.999 bb calldown just to make sure.
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