[Dids]

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So if a guy who's been racing half of his life has only a small chance of becoming a NASCAR racer, the the average person, who has never raced before, doesn't have a chance in hell of becoming a NASCAR driver in 5 years.

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Extend out the timeline then. Seems like your argument is still about practice and not innate ability.

I would also wager that there's other factors (luck, and who you know, given how much nepotism seems to rule in NASCAR) that keep those people from making it.