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Old 11-22-2007, 11:26 PM
b-komplex b-komplex is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 278
Default Re: Slightly -cEV move to become chip leader. $4 + .40 180sng stars

By stack sizes I assume 30-40 left or so eh. Sure there are cEV/$EV distortions in tournaments but not at that point.

Preflop is fricking horrible; steal that gives everyone odds to call. Then smooth of the 3bet OOP when your hand is basically 65o sucks; It is not going to be profitable 20 BB deep. There are maths out there I think it was around 15-1 implied to call with UCs. Flop plan is to check/call AI so basically now AK commits and is delighted to realize they are ahead.

So in conclusion I am comfortable dismissing this play as -cEV/-$EV/stinking awful without seeing any more fancy-pants maths tyvm mkay
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