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Old 06-16-2007, 07:20 PM
hawk59 hawk59 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
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Default Re: Possible Facebook IPO: History reapeating itself?

If you read the version of Securities Analysis that was written in the 1930's you'll see Ben Graham write that "the end of bull markets can be seen when a wave of inferior companies sell their stock to the public." And that statement obviously could have been written in 2001 or any other bull market. I honestly don't know the merits of Facebook going public, but if it has $500mm in revenues then it is still not approaching what was going on 8-10yrs ago when you had crappy websites with a few million in revenues and huge losses going public and getting valuations in the hundreds of millions or more.

Could be that this time around the froth isn't in IPO's; we could very well look back in a few years and look at the froth being in LBO's and private equity and there may be a certain deal that stands out as being the sign of the top.
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