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Old 11-27-2007, 06:48 PM
Keepitsimple Keepitsimple is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Göteborg
Posts: 3,368
Default Re: Staking Question

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Yea just realized that the 15000 that I put in reped BB not dollar amount.

Im told a 250 BB bankroll is solid for razz, so thats what we were thinking

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I tested to plugin some weird numbers and the model doesnt really behave as I would have expected. On the other hand I have never been good at statistics..

For your example mntbikr15. 250BB is enough given the other assumptions. You just dont bust that often. However it just doesnt seem right.. :/

10000,14,2,15000,0.5: 96
10000,14,1,15000,0.5: 37
30000,14,2,15000,0.5: 296
30000,14,1,15000,0.5: 133

Hopefully someone who is a math guru can comment. For example if you put in a STD which is very large compared to your stake. I assumed you would lose a lot. However the off chance of a huge score and the fact that you can only lose the original stake appearently make it very EV. This is obviously very wrong but it might be the assumption of poker being normally distributed thats the culprit and not the program itself. So we have to feed the model "nice" variables to get something out of it. Well enough rambling. Please someone who is good at math comment.
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