[PokerFink]

The great thing about semibluffing the flop is that our equity, when called, usually isn't that bad anyway. Now we're semibluffing a gutshot on the turn, where we have very little equity if called. It's hard to make up that difference in equity between drawing to two cards and drawing to one card, which is why I feel semibluffing the turn is almost always bad.

This particular move is essentially a stone cold bluff that, once in a blue moon, will get bailed out by making broadway. It barely even qualifies as a semi-bluff. Is making this move with ATC profitable? Of course not. We're risking a lot of money in a small pot on a coordinated board against multiple villians.