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Old 11-16-2007, 02:52 PM
ActionStan ActionStan is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 557
Default Re: 2Pair - Can i call this shove ? NL25

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Raise more on the flop. You're beat almost undoubtedly, but you have 13 outs to make the nuts (unless he has A8). It's $23 more to call and there's $6.50+$4.50+$28=$39 in the pot. So you need to be like 36% here and if you're beat (which you will be most of the time), you'll be 29% to win. I think it's close enough that you can gambool.

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I would put more money in the pot on the flop and turn so that this decision is easier. But now that you're here,

Gaammmboooool!!!!

If it's at all close like this, I would never fold with a draw to the nut flush and second FH. His most likely set is 44, so your A, 5 and all of your club outs are in play. You have 30% equity in the pot most of the time if you are behind (which is likely more often than not), he's going to occasionally show up with A4, 45, 8h9h, 8hTh and a few other things you crush, and he's going to bluff a non-zero percentage of the time. You have plenty of equity to be all-in there. Plus, gambling is fun.
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