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Here's my complete BCS projections:
NC: Missouri/OSU v. WV
Rose: OSU/Illinois v. USC
Sugar: LSU/Tenn v. Hawaii
Orange: VT/BC v. Georgia/Kansas
Fiesta: Kansas/Oklahoma v. ASU/Illinois/Clemson
I put Hawaii in the Sugar because they're now 12 so they should automatically qualify if they beat Washington and the Sugar Bowl has the last priority this year.
Here's a link to the selection procedures with the conference tie-ins.
Many of these bids obviously depend on winning next week. Illinois will be selected to play the Rose Bowl if OSU makes the NC game. This poses a problem for me because I would prefer to see OSU play the NC game but I have an Avatar bet that I lose if Illinois makes it.
I really don't know if Illinois would go over Clemson for an at-large bid in the Fiesta Bowl, but ASU will clinch that if they beat Arizona: they will be the home team and have no trouble selling tickets and they'll move up a couple spots in the rankings.
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Your leaving Missouri out of it completely if they play OU close but lose. They go from #1 to out of it?