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Old 03-29-2007, 11:12 AM
Noam Chomsky Noam Chomsky is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 919
Default Re: EPT Monte Carlo Hand 1

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It has a lot to do with it, actually. Basically, I need to know whether I'm willing to fire 2nd and 3rd bullets when certain cards come on the turn and river. Given the oppnent described, I don't think I can proftably do that. Knowing this, I need to determine how successful a stone-cold bluff will be on this flop vs these 2 opponents. The deep-stackedness comes into play when I assess how often hands like TP-no-diamond or mid-PPs no diamond peel off against me. When loose-passive players are deep they are way more willing to peel one off than they are with medium stacks where they fear they are making a flop decision that will ultimately lead to their tournament life being on the line. Without the power of me threatening their tournament life, I feel like I lose this pot too often with a single bet on the flop.

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Fair enough.

FWIW, I'm not planning on second and/or third barreling, like, ever. I can't imagine a turn card that if called on the flop, I would be betting, ever with any stacks against anyone barring some sick read. I'm really just looking at 2500 for 3700 right now and thinking that it might be profitable. You're right though, LAP guys will probably peel a ton esp against the 'effective button'.
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