Re: uh-oh
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lol . . . I'm curious, though, whether anyone has *ever* seen someone checkraise the river here when a relative blank falls in a 3-way pot against two people who seem to love their hands (or at least are signalling that they want to get to the river). I mean, like, ever. 16:1 isn't 100:1, but I don't know that I see a move like that as a bluff even 1 in 100 times.
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I agree that trying to make an exploitable fold here is very reasonable. It's a really hard spot for villain to bluff-raise, much less bluff-raise so often that he is exploiting us.
Then again, villain is described as a very strong high stakes player... so calling against THIS guy may be better. I mean, if you aren't sure you can fold, then you can always take the "safe" way out and call. You can't lose calling here.
But you can't win as much either. If you fold and it turns out that villain is in fact not bluffing "enough" hands here, then you win, possibly exploiting him for as much as a full big bet. That's a lot of money to leave on the table, IF IT'S ACTUALLY THERE TO BE TAKEN.
which leads us all the way back to square 1. What's the read? Can we exploit this guy or not? The read in the OP seems to say no, unless you are prepared to say that even the best players can be exploited here...
-eric
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