Thread: 20$: AA fold preflop? (honestly!)
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Old 06-30-2007, 04:08 PM
Al P Al P is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Weighed down in the Undertow
Posts: 796
Default Re: 20$: AA fold preflop? (honestly!)
[ QUOTE ]
people who are saying 'play for the win' and wtvr are incorrect. its all about ICM, not about 'playing for the win' . this is probably a shove, but I wouldn't be THAT surprised if some better posters said to fold this

[/ QUOTE ]

Let's say villian calls 20%. We win T450 80 times out of 100. We win whatever (T1900ish) and take the chip lead 17 times and we lose 3 times. With a 65:35 payout it seems like it would be worth it to "play for the win" here.

Of course online is rigged so this is one of the 3 times hero is going to lose and he'll never be in this situation n more times to let variance catch up.