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Old 11-29-2007, 03:07 PM
kerowo kerowo is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 6,880
Default Re: Blinds, damn blinds...

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I'm not folding 2nd pair in a blind steal situation when there is no broadway on the board.

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Give a few hand ranges at the two critical moments:

1) Villain's 3-bet preflop
2) Villain's turn raise after smooth calling the flop

Try giving 3 hand ranges:

* Villain is defending "lightly"
* Villain is an "average" defender
* Villain is a "tight" 3-bettor

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It's a blind steal situation against basically an unknown. If we had a read on what he had defended with and how he had defended my answer would be different, but there have been too many times when I see naked aces played like this for me to fold.

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That's why I think it's good to give villain a range of hands based on different types of playing styles. It gives you a better sense of what the value of your hand is in this spot.

Calling down because "I see naked aces" isn't very solid reasoning. Basically, your line has turned into "I has a pair, I show down regardless of action."

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It is exactly like that except I don't sound like a Neanderthal when I say it... [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

My point is that blind steals are a separate situation from regular play. Since we don't have notes on whether this guy realizes that or not, or what he plays in this situation, folding a legitimate hand for one bet isn't a play I'm going to make. Reads from non-steal situations often won't carry over to steal situations. I don't remember how many hands we have on this guy, but I didn't think it was all that many.
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