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Old 11-20-2007, 12:31 PM
Adrian20XX Adrian20XX is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 172
Default Re: Cutting Off Set Equity

Hi,

I did this analisys considering set over set and quands vs set in this thread:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showth...e=2#Post9343754

It comes down that for the call to be EV+, the small pp needs to be able to win more than 9.5 times the bet he is facing.

So in your case, small pp lead for $8, AA on button raises to 8+X, sb folds, bb folds.

Pot will be 8+1+2+8+X=19+X

And the reward is: 19+X+(200-X)=219+X

219+X=9.5*X
219=8.5X
X=219/8.5=$25.76

That is the break even point.

If you want to simplify the math, the reward is 219+X aproximated to 220, so the reaise that the small pp can call is around $22 ($22 is the raise, so he has to put $30 on the pot).

Regards ...
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