Re: 5/10 UB 98s vs TAG
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I like it. I think he'll call with ace high alot, and AQ/AT/A9 is in his range. He will hardly ever bet these if you check. TT/99 are possible, but I think AJ or QQ usually bets the turn.
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a good TAG is not calling with AQ on the river. The person who raised PF is not calling with 55 on that flop, so he either has a pair or a draw.
Most of the draws hit the turn.
I think I might peel the flop, but once that is the turn, I'm done with the hand.
If I'm the villian, my range on the turn will be AQ, AT, QQ, TT, 99, AJs, AJo, and if i'm feeling frisky PF, QJs.
Look at that range, you are beating AQ and AT, that's it.
I think this is a "check the river and hope he checks a better hand" time.
THere is minimal value in a bet here.
Basically all your options suck, I just check, and hope TT gives me a free showdown.
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