Re: Razz for Rusty
I think I phrased that badly. He improves like 60% of the time past my T, right? He has 6 cards he can catch, probably something like 19-20 outs out of 35 unknowns.
I only win when he's bluffing, so if B is his bluff percentage, and he has a losing hand 40% of the time, then I win .4B*4 on average. (If the pot is 4bb)
If B > 65% then I have a positive expectation, otherwise I don't.
The pot the size it is now, I have positive expectation if he bluffs 35% of the time or more, PLUS because of his actions on 5th and 6th, I think he bluffs this an awful lot.
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