Re: Here is a great idea on how to beat bookies
Ok Lets keep it in this thread than, lets look at it from another point of view. BTW I checked pinnacle lines and bodog for a hockey games tonight and they are very similar.
A game is -130 for a reason. Lets take pinnacle line
Mon 11/26 7 Columbus Blue Jackets
OVER 5.5 +126
UNDER 5.5 -136 Columbus Blue Jackets
Actually bodog line is better lol its only -135.
Anyways to bet this game under 5.5 you have to lay 135 to win 100 the reason this is because linemakers believe that this game will stay under 6 or 7 out of 10 times, thats why the juice is higher. Now if you get this game at -110 you are going to be a winner in a long run because 6 or 7 out of 10 times you will win, as if you are betting 135 to win 100 you will break even in the long run and will loose the juice. So if you pick these games only that have higher probablity of accuring according to the lines online IN THE LONG RUN you will crush your bookies since most of them will give -110 line.
Please let me know if that makes more sense now
|