Re: Jameser <3 \'s porn
I see 3 outs to overs, 0.5 outs for BDSD = 3.5 outs = 12:1 hand odds. I think we might need to improve in this situation, since we have two opponents that like their hands. The pot odds are currently 14.4:1, so it's an obvious call, at least. The question is, what would a raise do for us? Will a raise bump out UTG+2? Only hands we have to worry about him having are AQ, QQ, KQ. I think AQ or KQ bet out on this flop, or they go for a c/r. These guys are aggressive to do either. Also, if we raise, we could also get 3-bet by MP1. The raise drops our pot odds to 14.4:2 = 7.2:1, which is less than our hand odds. If 3-bet, we could be facing 15.4:3 = 5.1:1, which would be awful.
Pluses about calling are the following:
1) we have pot odds to do so, while we don't for a raise.
2) if we call, we get to see what UTG+2's action is. If he c/r we could put him on AQ or QQ+, and also see how MP1 thinks about the c/r. We'd give ourselves relative position by calling in such a situation.
I can't think of any other reasons. I like the call option better though.
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