Re: % of time winner knocks out most players?
Yeah you'd need to run lots of simulations with semi-realistic computer AI tournaments, or have the data from a large sample of actual tournaments to find the answer. I tend to agree that often it wouldn't be the winner or even a high finisher who knocks out the most players, but instead a maniac who manages to go on a tear for a while before his luck runs out.
What I think would be an interesting gimmick is if a poker site kept a running total of the number of "scalps" collected by each player during the course of a tournament, and displayed it for everyone to see. So midway through a tournament a new player is moved to your table. If he has only 3 scalps you have reason to believe he's been laying low, and if he has 12 scalps you likely have a maniac on your hands. Also some players would get overly caught up in scalp collecting, which would make the play wilder than normal but those who properly adjusted for this tendency could benefit.
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