Thread: PS .25/.50 BB
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Old 08-13-2007, 04:40 AM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
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Default Re: PS .25/.50 BB

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I thought that facing a flush draw only about 26% of the time seemed awfully low but that's what my numbers said and I don't see a flaw in the probability calculations I used - yet.

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The probability of a player having AA is 220:1. Let's say you're playing NL and it's folded to you in the big blind. You have KK. You raise to 5BB preflop, the big blind reraises to 20BB, you 4bet to 80BB and the big blind goes all-in for 200BB. Is the probability that he has AA still 220:1?

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[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. The odds that someone has a flush draw are higher then normal to begin with since people are more likely to play suited cards. When you add in the postflop action, you are going to see a flush draw a good % of the time. I really think that you guys should do a study on this kinda thing but hey what do I know.
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