Thread: PS .25/.50 BB
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  #9  
Old 08-13-2007, 02:08 AM
Aaron W. Aaron W. is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Henderson, NV
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Default Re: PS .25/.50 BB

The flop 3-bet is bad. And if it's bad, it means you're losing money. While it may be true that you have an equity edge right now (I'm not at all convinced that this is the case), you're passing up on future odds if you hit a straight.

** Why don't I think you have an equity edge? Even though you have 6 outs to the nuts, you're almost always facing a flush redraw. This means that even if you hit your straight on the turn, you lose 20% of the time on the river. So if you had those 6 full outs for ~25% equity, you need to cut it back to account for your losses.

Then you consider the fact that when you get raised here, AK is high on the list of hands you're facing, meaning that you really only have 5 outs to start, which is only about 20% equity, which means your adjusted equity is probably around 16-18%
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