Re: 3 way FD
Well, here's the deal: On the turn, you are ~1:4 to hit your flush. So, since you need two willing idiots for excessive raising to take place, and since you obv. will not raise without good reason, you're 3ways on the turn. That's worst-case scenario, mind.
Thus, as you contribute 1/3 of the money but are only 1/5 to make your hand by the river, you actually lose money. Indeed. How much? Well 4* (1/3- 1/5) = 0.533333. So, if it get's capped, worst case scenario is, that you lose 0.5BB. That is the price for drawing to the river only, not including any money you make on the river. Also, not including the fact that your flush won't win always. So, let's say you win only every 4th hand when your flush hits and there was excessive raising on the turn (that's probably exceedingly generous, but still). That means, you lose not 0.5BB when the turn get's capped, but overall 1.5BB.
But what happens when you make your flush and your flush holds up. Do you expect your opponents just to drop dead when the third heart falls...
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