Re: Ace8 sooted attempt steal. Need help on turn and river.
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Villain took the initiative on the turn, which means he "had" his hand here. His range here is huge - tons of 2pairs whether they are from weak aces or sc type hands, straight, straight draws, flush draws, blah blah blah. Enormous.
River lead narrows it down a bit, but still leaves open a straight, 2pr (AT), and a flush. Further, i think a straight calls a raise very often here (it backdoored), AT probably calls here if the player has a highish WTSD, and flushes are definitely calling as well.
Valueshove FTW. Its right about a pot sized raise (21ish) in the middle after your call, it looks kinda bluffy, and theres a lot of hands that call here. Stop nitting!
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Todd
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really... his sd is about 10%. He prolly took the initiative because he prolly paired his 9x on the turn? I was ready to muck it until I saw that I runner runnered a flush. I still didnt feel good calling that 6 dollar bet. Maybe I am a nit.
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WTSD is 10? Over what sample? Thats an absurd number.
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