Re: 666 flop
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Assuming Hero puts at least one bet into the pot each round, in a fixed-limit game, Hero will lose a total of 5 more small bets. And Hero should fully expect to lose 24 times out of 45.
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My analysis is based on the fact that the price changes significantly once someone calls the flop and bets into you on the turn.
Perhaps the limit games you guys play are aggressive. That hasn't been my experience in the few low stakes limit games I've played.
I don't think it's fair to base your analysis on the preflop probability of 24/45 and then not adjust it for the action in the hand. Without doing that, you certainly can't claim that folding is mathematically wrong, since you've only done a portion of the math. If you assume that the 24/45 doesn't change, then of course you can't fold.
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