View Single Post
  #18  
Old 11-11-2007, 08:46 PM
howzit howzit is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: ATM 500 max
Posts: 845
Default Re: (Low content) HH against Jennifer Harmon

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
ull Tilt Poker
Limit Omaha Hi/Lo Ring game
Limit: $50/$100
2 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (2 players) Hero is SB with Q 9 2 A
Hero raises, BB calls.

Flop: T 9 6 (3SB, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

Turn: 6 (1.5BB, 2 players)
BB bets, Hero calls (2.5:1).

River: T (3.5BB, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.


i think there's value in a river bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree. What are we expecting villain to have and what are we extracting value from?

I agree that there's the offchance that we might get value out of a lower 9 or 6 even, but the times we bet and get scooped by JJ+ just makes us look silly.

[/ QUOTE ]
i still feel like there's razor thin value.

i can't see overpair leading into turn OOP when a six is a major part of your range.

when you check flop and she checks river, a Ten is drastically reduced from both your ranges.

and since she feels that you can't have a boat or a Ten or a straight here, i'm pretty sure she would bet a six on the river for value knowing that an overpair would likely call.(this is likely since you called turn) she checks a six only to catch a bluff.

yeah, so i think you are ahead of her range here. but we both know that a bet is bordering between thin and stupid.
Reply With Quote