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Old 01-08-2007, 04:41 AM
Johnny#5 Johnny#5 is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 419
Default Re: $5/10 Razz--Three Pair

Putting some numbers to this: If we give the stealer an okay but not great hand and the 9 up has A3 in the hole you get these equities:

As 2c 3h 0.515
8c 5c 2h 0.247
3s 9c Ad 0.238

If you isolate against a typical stealing hand:

As 2c 3h 0.580
8c 5c 2h 0.420

He could have a better hand, he could have a worse one. If we call 3rd and the 9 comes along with 93A we will have 51% of a 3.6 SB pot with 1 SB invested, or about 1.3 SB EV of non-invested bets. If we reraise and isolate we will have 58% of a 5.1 SB pot with 2 SB invested, or about 1.8 SB in non-invested equity.

In the immediate case I think it's clear reraising is more +EV than calling, plus if you just call and the 9 drops out then you just have a premium hand and a smaller pot which is bad. Are your implied odds/idiot player factor/whatever you want to call it worth more than half an SB? I don't know. Someone figure that out for me please lol.
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