Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
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If I think Tenn wins 50% of the time, then I need Denver to win by 1 or 2 (I'm assuming the odds of winning by 1 are similar enough to winning by 2 for this), 3.28% of the time each for it to be breakeven. Anymore, and Ten +2 is a better line.
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This math is done in Sharp Sports Betting. Take a look at the section "NFL Money Line vs. Spread". +2 (-110) equates to a moneyline between +113 and +117. So you are right. +2 (-110) is the better line.
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