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Old 11-27-2007, 05:50 PM
shaundeeb shaundeeb is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Head of Coaching Dept
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Default Re: How many people will make more than $250,000 this year playing pok

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Assuming online-only and assuming this is sustainable (ie not counting people who win a big tournament or catch a month long heater and then stop playing).

You figure 5-10 tournament players.
Figure 5-10 nosebleed players.
Figure 5-10 SNG players.
Figure 5-20 people who grind out 25/50nl/pl and 1/200 limit who don't put in a ton of table hours/week but have great game selection.

The rest are going to be made up of low and mid stakes grinders, most of who fly under the radar. Estimate that most of these players have to put in between 100-150 table hours/week. More at levels like 3/6nl and 10/20 limit, less at 10/20nl and 30/60 limit. If we estimate that there are 15 tables going at any point in time, with half of those being 6-handed, that's 2700 table hours per day, so just shy of 19,000 hours a week. That's enough room for around 150, but that's impossible since then they would all be playing each other and nobody would be making any money, so if we assume that the table can only support half grinders and half fish at any time, thats about 75 per level per year. If we assume four grindable levels of nl and three of lhe, that's about 525 people. Double that for the omaha games, and you're looking at around 1,050 people.

Add in all of the other 250k/yr players above, plus a couple HU specialists and stud game specialists and I think a very rough estimation of 1,100 people would be in the ballpark. But again, that number is a rough estimate of how many 250k/yr players the economy can support, the number that it actually does is probably far less than that.

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lol at only 5-10 tourney players go back to 10/20 lhe 4tabling sir.
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