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#10
11-27-2007, 02:04 PM
 pzhon Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 4,515
Re: Determining the probability that you\'re a winning player

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What is the point in running some long drawn out calculation ... Your either winning more than your losing or not.

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[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] It is very reasonable to collect evidence of being a winning player, and then ask whether that evidence is strong, or weak.

[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] "Results +- 2 standard deviations" is not long and drawn out.

[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] The contraction of "you are" is "you're," while "your" is a possessive pronoun.

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When a years gone by and you've got 12 months to look at, you can begin to decide if your a long term winner or not.

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This is terrible. It generally takes much less than 12 months to determine whether you are a winning player. It could be a huge waste of time and money to spend 12 months at each level before worrying about whether you are a winning player or not. Further, do you really think "years" is a contraction of "year has?" Why did you write that sloppy, rambling, incorrect post in response to my simple, correct answer, which also gives you a range of win rates supported by the evidence?