[andyfox]

This is a tougher one. Stephan has been drinking less and has become a fairly tough player. He's making far fewer "moves" OOP against players he perceives as tough, as well as folding his blinds more against such players. So while he might well have had something like 9-7s or some other hand that you are ahead of or have 5 outs against a few months ago, you're much more likely now to be drawing either dead or to 2 outs. That "I think he has some crap hand; I hope you have A-Q" speech is trouble as well.

That said, he's not beyond playing J-J or T-T like this. It would seem wrong to play those hands like this on the flop, but I've seen him do it more often than just about any other player there. But you're likely looking at J-T or a set.