Re: Dun wanna miss a value bet on the river, with top T pair, mid kick
uhhh, these backdoor outs shouldn't be counted for even half an out.
to start with, it is a 2-gapper which comes in some stupidly small percentage of the time. i think it's around 1.5%.
a theoretical one card draw will come in slightly less that 5% of the time, so a draw that comes in 1.5% of the time is woth significantly less that one out.
secondly, this isn't even a genuine 2-gapper, it is a 1 card 2-gapper which means that you will have limited implied odds if you do hit it (because it looks so obvious) and there is a much higher chance of splitting the pot.
3rdly, it's not even to the nuts.
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