Re: Stars 1/2 - AK 2 bets cold on turn
I really don't think that folding here is giving up much, if anything.
You're against a solid player who led into the PFR twice and a passive player who raised the second one. Your best hope here is that the double donker has A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]x[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and that the raiser has QJ/KJ. In this case, you're ahead, but you're not *that* far ahead.
pokenum -h ad kd - qs jc - ah 2h -- js 6h th as
Holdem Hi: 42 enumerated boards containing As Js Th 6h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ad Kd 27 64.29 15 35.71 0 0.00 0.643
Qs Jc 3 7.14 39 92.86 0 0.00 0.071
Ah 2h 12 28.57 30 71.43 0 0.00 0.286
On the other hand, if you're behind, you might be drawing to as few as 3 outs, and that might only be to chop the pot. The pot is relatively small, so you're not getting any overlay to help you if you're wrong about being ahead.
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