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Old 11-02-2007, 04:47 AM
Realyn Realyn is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 70
Default Re: Check raised on the turn

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in a 6BB pot giving a free card to a 10 outer is _very_ expensive.

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can you make basic assumptions and show some math to prove this statement?

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i didn't think i was making a controversial statement [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
a 10 outer comes in roughly 1/5. so his equity share in the pot is 1.2BB. if you bet and he calls, his equity share in the new pot is 8/5 = 1.4 BB, but that includes 1BB of the extra money he had to put in, so by charging him to draw you reduce the equity share from 1.2BB to 0.4BB, i.e. giving him a free card costs roughtly .8BB

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yeah sorry but this math is [censored].

you are absolut ignoring the factor bluffing on the river, hell maybe he will valuebet 22 vs Ak ...
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