[Proofrock]

Definitely not crazy about your example for several reasons (way too small a sample size for the stats to be very useful, SB's stats indicate he's not really a "thinking" player, and it's a turbo so people generally play looser and there's less time for a thinking player to peg *you* for a thinking player since the action is faster), but otherwise nice post.

However, you need to be careful to do this only vs. *thinking*, observant opponents, which aren't easy to come by in small buy-in MTTs. Overall, I'm still not entirely convinced it's overwhelmingly +EV to do this with trash, though, since you'll generally need to call those times the nitty BB shoves.