View Single Post
  #32  
Old 06-17-2006, 04:53 PM
disjunction disjunction is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 3,352
Default Re: Two stoxtrader hands

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

In HAND 2, peeling with the intention of folding unimproved on the turn is certainly a mistake.

Cartman

[/ QUOTE ]

The main problem with your estimates is that you either ommitted or substantially underestimated the damage done when we improve and lose.

[/ QUOTE ]

Then the number in question is 12.5 BB I assigned when you spike an ace. (13.5 BB with deductions for when we improve and lose, perhaps it wasn't enough of a deduction). I made this estimate hastily, so I can believe that the real number is as low as 10.5. I'd be very surprised if it's lower than that when you enumerate all the contingencies. The problem with enumerating all the contingencies is there are always more. What if a non-ace scare card on the turn freezes him?

In which case I'm still happy with my standard line of folding the turn unimproved. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote