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Old 09-12-2007, 10:40 AM
Crispy Bacon Crispy Bacon is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 441
Default Re: NL $200 KQs Nut FD vs Reraise

I don't see how we can call. If a bad card comes on the turn SB will most likely push giving pot odds of 2.2:1 and we're only 4:1 to make the hand so we have to fold having donated a quarter of our stack. Giving him a range of A9,TT,99,T9 - On the flop our chance of winning is around 38%. And we have pot odds of 45% so he needs to fold over 7% of the time for us to push. It's probably very close between a push and a fold but I don't see how we can call here.

I'm not sure about my logic here so please correct me if I'm wrong. thanks
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