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Old 09-25-2007, 08:35 PM
vmacosta vmacosta is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Bay Area
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Default Re: General Blind Steal Spot

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nina,
how many hands do you need to have on somebody before sd stats are meaningful? I always assumed it was a bunch and i have 200+ hands on maybe only 1/5 people i play.

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the standard deviation for WTSD is:

49%/sqrt(Nflopseen) ~ 49%/sqrt(Nhands*VPIP/100%) ~ 49%/sqrt(Nhands/3)

~85%/sqrt(Nhands)

so after 1000 hands WTSD is determined within 2.7% with 68% confidence and within 5.4% with 95% confidence.

after 10000 hands these numbers are 0.85% and 1.7% respectively

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whoops, that should have been obvious. thanks for helping the lazy and ignorant.
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