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Old 12-30-2006, 06:29 PM
AJGibson AJGibson is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Not thinking
Posts: 748
Default Re: 25nl 6max small pocket pair heads up pot against NIT should I fold

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I dont hit a set 1 in 8 no way

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You will
P(hitting a set) = 1 - P(not hitting a set)
= 1 - (45/47 x 44/46 x 43/45)
= 1 - 0,88
= 0.12
Which is a 12% chance of hitting your set on the flop which is 1 time in 8, the math does not lie.

[ QUOTE ]
I dont think i can get his whole stack even if i hit the 3. If i dont think he will pay me off I fold right?


[/ QUOTE ]

You donīt need to stack him when you hit your set you just need to take an average of over $7 to make this call profitable. Folding is really weak IMO
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