Re: Win Rate for B&M play.
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The typical credo states that live 1/2 NL is supposed to be easier to beat than the typical 0.10/0.25 NL game online, but I'm getting a much higher WR/hour at live play this year than I am in online play.
Should be it be sustainable (over 100+ hours) to beat 1/2 NL for >15 BB/hr? My gut tells me that I haven't quite hit the other side of variance yet (what's an acceptable variance equivalent for live play? 250 hours for 10000 hands?)
Are my opponents *that* bad?
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Thirty dollars per hour in a 1/2 NL game; that's a pretty strong win rate.
Look at it this way. The casino drops/collects/rakes about $90 to $140 per hour (let's say it's $120). If there are two similarly skilled opponents in the game the remaining seven seats need to be filed by players willing to lose about $30 per hour on average in what amounts to a tiny game. How long do you expect the games to stay this good?
~ Rick
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