View Single Post
  #12  
Old 11-26-2007, 04:04 PM
RapidLearner RapidLearner is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 43
Default Re: made trips on turn lead out and opponet shoves $50nl

I find these load-blowing all-ins to be a monster more often than a bluff. You need to be ahead only 43/(54.5 + 43) = 44% of the time to break even. I'd guess in general one is ahead here 20-30% of the time against an unknown, since I'd say 70-80%+ of the time the donk just splooged all over his screen with KK/77/K7/A7/33/J7/Q7 and fell off his chair getting it all-in.

As played, check the river, and call reasonably sized bets ($4-$8).
Reply With Quote