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Old 11-30-2007, 01:42 PM
solinar solinar is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 55
Default Re: Street by street analysis of a marginal hand

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Preflop, we can assume that 1010 is ahead of a not very good players range. Lets assign him a minraising a range of 22+, k10+, q10+ and A8+. This is a simplistic range, and a loose villains range could easily be much wider or tighter. But against this one, 1010 has 61% equity. So a pf reraise is in order.

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This is flawed thinking. You can't base your equity on his current range, you have to base it on the range he will call your 3bet with. If he only calls 3-bets with AA, then you should never 3bet for value, even though you have 61% equity vs his raising range.
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