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Old 09-10-2007, 04:09 AM
huhwhatyousay? huhwhatyousay? is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: NYU
Posts: 220
Default Re: AA facing flop raise on drawy flop, poker stove analysis.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

77,220 games 0.005 secs 15,444,000 games/sec

Board: Qh 7h 2s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.138% 39.14% 00.00% 30222 0.00 { AA }
Hand 1: 60.862% 60.86% 00.00% 46998 0.00 { 77, 22, AhKh, AhJh, AhTh, Ah9h, KhJh, JhTh, Th9h, 9h8h, 6h5h }


If the ratio of sets:draws is around 1:1.33 - 1:1.5 ish, you're looking at around 37-40% pot equity vs. this range. Considering dead money in the pot, you need around 38-42% or so equity to continue. If you 3bai here, villain has the odds to call w/ a 36% draw. It looks like you're in decent shape vs. this range. Minute amounts of fold equity + a few combos of AQ/KQ and you're suddenly +EV here.

Note: The drawing hands I chose were sorta arbitrary, since 54hh pretty much = AJhh vs. AA on this board.
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