[NoSetNoBet]

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Why not cap HU against an unknown?


As played:

On the flop we are way ahead of QQ (6 combos), ahead AK (8) with 7 outs and ahead AQ (16 - should be discounted heavily) with 5 outs.

We are way behind AA (6 combos), JJ (3), TT (3).

Hmm. We are more often ahead. If ahead Villain might have a little less than 5 outs on average (QQ, AK, AQ). When we are behind we only have 2 outs. We are rather showdown bound here in any case.

I guess it boils down to how likely the villain is to fold a hand we beat (and that he is willing to bet for us) if we put a c/r in there somewhere? On the other hand we want to take this showdown and getting 3-bet by a better hand would be pretty expensive as we cannot fold to a 3-bet, can we?

On first look your flop and turn play looked bad. Now I'm beginning to think it's the opposite.

River is tricky again. Will TT, JJ fold here often if we donk or c/r? Maybe TT but not JJ? And will they bet if we check to them?

I guess river is too a c/c as TT will probably fold to c/r, gaining us nothing, but still sometimes bet if checked to. Against JJ and QQ we win that 1BB more with a c/r but lose 3 when AA 3-bets.

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TT and JJ are not folding on the river (lol?). These hands still beat us. DUCY?