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Old 11-11-2007, 02:32 AM
Matt Williams Matt Williams is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: New Jersey
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Default Re: $1 MTT - 4h2d in BB was I right to call shorstack\'s all-in move?

[ QUOTE ]
It's very close.

In order to break even on the call you need to win 30.8% of the time.

If villian is pushing with 100% of his hands you win 33.2%.
If villian is pushing with the top 50% of his hands you win 31.2% .

If villian is pushing with the top 25% of his hands you win 30.2% of the time.

So I'd call or fold based upon if villian has been open pushing a lot, in the money considerations, and your percieved skill level against your opponents on this table (if they seem better than you then gambling here is better).

[/ QUOTE ]

That's poker in a nutshell. And people wonder why it's so hard to win MTT's.
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