Thread: NL25 KK
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  #56  
Old 11-15-2007, 01:53 PM
stillnaive stillnaive is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 74
Default Re: NL25 KK

The math for the curious:

<font color="red">Assuming 70% chance of AA, AJs+, AJo+ = 6.590% equity</font>
<font color="blue">Assuming 30% chance of JJ-QQ = 89.394% equity</font>
Folding equity of 10%

EV=.9*{.70*[<font color="red">0.89*(28.35+22.85)-0.11*(22.85)</font>]+.30*[<font color="blue">0.0659*(28.35+22.85)-0.9341*(22.85)</font>]}+.1*{28.35}
EV=.9*(0.3372765)+.1*(28.35)
EV=3.13
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