[Jman28]

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As played, I'd fold because of the reasons stated above. He should put you on a King a large % of the time.

If he views you as solid, I would raise over a turn bet. I like the check behind though.

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agree on check behind turn, what are we putting him on the river, squarely 44 or TJ? Doesn't he bet the turn with TJ almost always? Can he be value betting worse hands here on the river?

tc

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I definitely don't know Nick's game that well, but I don't think it's that unlikely he was either going for a turn c/r with JT, or checking 44 because he expects to lose most worse hands if he bets the turn. (Or just to be tricky and have FPS)

I think KQo is the most likely hand for him, even if he raises it up preflop like 75% of the time. If he always raises KQ here preflop, it might be a call.

The main reason I fold is bc I don't see how Nick would view that river as a good bluffing opportunity.

Also, he might be able to have KT or K9, but I wouldn't expect him to raise flop with it. Again though, I don't know his game.