Re: AK vs [censored] ratholer
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fold
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lol
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Why lol?
With a shove or a cc you have only EV+ if you play vs. 2 high cards (or sc). But imo only a maniac would push that vs. a UTG-raiser with to more players behind.
So you may expect here ~90% 22-QQ and you are 45:55 = 1:1,22 behind (Some people say its a coinflip, i say you are behind).
your odds are 180:147 = 1,22.
So what?
In ~10% (its imho a lot) you are in front vs BTN (2 high cards, sc) ~ 60:40
[(60*180 - 40* 147)/100] * 10% = + $4,9
Vs AA/KK from Button you are Behind a lot 8 (i forget it) .
If you shove you get calls only from pp`s (AK) and you are behind again ($594)1:1,22 (i forget it).
Maybe ~2% (its not a lot) you will see AA/KK from BB or UTG and you are 18,5 : 81,5 behind ($594)
= [(18,5*771 - 81,5*594)/100]* 2% = - $9,5
So imo (it was only a very fast calculation !!)
A shove is here ~~~~~~~~ $4,9 - $9,5 = -$4,6
i would fold.
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