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Old 02-20-2007, 06:48 PM
SplawnDarts SplawnDarts is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 1,332
Default Re: I didn\'t protect my hand so I\'ll just play two random cards

[ QUOTE ]


No. The BB did not have a hand. $6 limpers, $12 raise by the 87, and the $3 blinds. If I'm the 87, it's "Give me $21 and let's move on to the next hand or I call your raise, you have no hand, and I win your remaining stack." The 87s had all the power, why should he even consider the BB's offer?

Even looking at it from what happened:
$42 for 87h to call
...pot becomes total of $115 ( 2*54 + $6 from limpers + $1 sb)
87s is 47.936% vs random two cards.
$115 * .47936 = $55.12
$55.12 - $42 call = $13.13 "profit" vs $12 "profit" taking his $12 back.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is of course patent nonsense, as raising garbage into a known all-in was a mistake as well. Hell, even if he didn't believe the all-in was going to happen, raising 87s to 12 when stacks are only 50ish is retarded. So his entire play can be analyzed as one big mistake.

In a global sense, he was going to get only 47% of the pot and contributed half the pot. You can justify it however you like, but at the end of the day you lose money doing that.
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